Aubagne 1-1 Versailles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
10%
23.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.58
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
16%
4.88
X/X
11%
4.02
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.41
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Versailles EU Bookmakers 43%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
2.02/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.66
+79% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
227 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Versailles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
08.02.2025 Versailles Versailles 2-0 HT 2-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
06.09.2024 Aubagne Aubagne 3-3 HT 1-3 Versailles Versailles FR3
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Versailles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne and Versailles shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Versailles led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aubagne and 2.50 for Versailles.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Versailles?

Aubagne 1-1 Versailles in the France - National League 1 on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Versailles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 37%, draw 23%, Versailles 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Versailles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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