Ynyshir Albions 1-1 Treowen Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.66/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ynyshir Albions
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Treowen Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
15.11.2025 Treowen Stars 3-0 HT 3-0 Ynyshir Albions GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ynyshir Albions vs Treowen Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ynyshir Albions and Treowen Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Treowen Stars at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Ynyshir Albions vs Treowen Stars?

Ynyshir Albions 1-1 Treowen Stars in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ynyshir Albions vs Treowen Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Treowen Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ynyshir Albions 33%, draw 26%, Treowen Stars 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Treowen Stars), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treowen Stars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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