Llantwit Major 0-1 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒17:52 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
57%
Away Win
57%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.31/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.54
+1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +127%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trefelin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25.08.2025 Trefelin Trefelin 3-3 HT 1-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
25.01.2025 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
16.08.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 3-1 HT 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
02.03.2024 Llantwit Major 3-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
09.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 3-3 HT 1-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
04.03.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin squeezed past Llantwit Major 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.67 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Trefelin?

Llantwit Major 0-1 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 19%, draw 24%, Trefelin 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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