Trefelin 3-3 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.63/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.63
-23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.01.2025 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
16.08.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 3-1 HT 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
02.03.2024 Llantwit Major 3-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
09.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 3-3 HT 1-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
04.03.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
30.07.2022 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin and Llantwit Major couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Trefelin at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trefelin and 1.50 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Llantwit Major?

Trefelin 3-3 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 48%, draw 21%, Llantwit Major 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trefelin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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