Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.36
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.29
6+
6%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.8
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
17.2
X/1
22%
3.79
X/2
5%
12.5
X/X
11%
5.81
2/1
3%
22.65
2/2
7%
10.75
2/X
4%
19.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod The Market 18%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.21 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.09
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.61 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
380 Passes 236
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
19.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
22.09.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
24.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-3 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
30.09.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
01.04.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-4 HT 0-3 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
REVIEW Lokomotiv Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lokomotiv Moscow squeezed past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 49%. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 0.83 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Result & Final Score

Lokomotiv Moscow 2 - 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 68%, draw 19%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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