Krasnodar 2-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

Krasnodar
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Rostov
📅28/02/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Krasnodar The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rostov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
281 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
16.03.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
14.09.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
08.03.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
07.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-2 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
2 - 1
AWAY Rostov
2.12 xG 1.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 127
80% Pass Accuracy 58%
40 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Krasnodar vs Rostov
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Krasnodar came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Rostov 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 51%.

On the day, possession split 65% to 35% in Krasnodar's favour, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.12 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Krasnodar against 0.67 for Rostov.

Krasnodar vs Rostov Result & Final Score

Krasnodar 2 - 1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Krasnodar vs Rostov Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 60%, draw 23%, Rostov 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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