Rostov 0-0 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 31% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.45
1/2
8%
23.4
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
9%
7.28
X/2
19%
4.55
X/X
16%
5.05
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.66
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +22%
1.36/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.42
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.6 Crosses 13.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
268 Passes 274
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
14.09.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
08.03.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
07.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-2 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
06.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-0
AWAY Krasnodar
0.68 xG 0.91
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
182 Passes 317
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Krasnodar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Rostov had 40% of the ball to Krasnodar's 60%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rostov and 1.83 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Krasnodar?

Rostov 0-0 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rostov 27%, draw 30%, Krasnodar 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krasnodar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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