Krasnodar 2-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Krasnodar
2-0 HT 1-0
Rostov
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Krasnodar vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.38
X/2
12%
7.17
X/X
10%
4.27
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
12%
5.61
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krasnodar v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.64/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 68%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
14.7 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Krasnodar vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rostov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
281 Passes 328
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
07.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-2 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
06.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
09.10.2022 Rostov Rostov 3-2 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
30.04.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 2-1 Rostov Rostov RUS

Krasnodar 2-0 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
2-0
AWAY Rostov
3.90 xG 2.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 21
11 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
230 Passes 284
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 38
5 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar saw off Rostov 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 44% of the ball to Rostov's 56%, shots finished 22-21, expected goals 3.90 to 2.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krasnodar and 1.50 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Rostov?

Krasnodar 2-0 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 42%, draw 29%, Rostov 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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