Fakel 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Fakel
0-0 HT 0-0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Fakel vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.19
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.79
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
10%
3.94
X/2
11%
7.63
X/X
14%
3.52
2/1
12%
34.0
2/2
9%
6.96
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.5pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fakel v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.14/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.48
-57% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.1 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Fakel vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
187 Passes 250
60% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
20.08.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.05.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
03.09.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
27.10.2021 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and Pari Nizhny Novgorod played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fakel at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fakel and 1.00 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Fakel 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fakel 47%, draw 28%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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