FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Orenburg v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
FK Orenburg
RUS
1-4
HT 1-3
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
5-1
HT 3-1
FK Orenburg
RUS
1-0
HT 1-0
FK Orenburg
RUS
FK Orenburg 2-4 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow beat FK Orenburg 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, FK Orenburg had 44% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 56%, shots finished 16-25, expected goals 2.77 to 3.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Orenburg and 2.50 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
FK Orenburg 2-4 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 33%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Moscow 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.