CSKA Moskova 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.18
1/2
10%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.77
X/2
11%
5.13
X/X
16%
4.2
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
15%
3.54
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.96/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.95
-22% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
14.0 Crosses 15.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.91 xG 0.71
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
225 Passes 546
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
11.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
02.05.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
03.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
15.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova Rusya - Süper Kupa
19.03.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.09 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
348 Passes 448
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past CSKA Moskova 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Zenit St. Petersburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 46% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 54%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.09 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.33 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

CSKA Moskova 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 34%, draw 30%, Zenit St. Petersburg 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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