Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-1 HT 0-1
Fakel
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.38
Over 2.5
30%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
14%
7.05
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
19%
5.39
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
17%
3.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.12
2/X
11%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
69%
+1.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
31%
-1.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Fakel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.64
-15% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
15.7 Crosses 20.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Fakel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
236 Passes 192
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.05.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
03.09.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
27.10.2021 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod and Fakel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.00 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pari Nizhny Novgorod win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 36%, draw 32%, Fakel 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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