Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Baltika Kaliningrad
0-0 HT 0-0
FC Sochi
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.04
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
11%
5.16
X/2
11%
5.2
X/X
15%
3.69
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baltika Kaliningrad v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -31%
1.03/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.38
-72% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.9 Crosses 17.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.61 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
328 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.07.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
21.10.2017 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0-0
AWAY FC Sochi
1.63 xG 1.44
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 390
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad and FC Sochi fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 40% of the ball to FC Sochi's 60%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 2.00 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 36%, draw 31%, FC Sochi 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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