28/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Holbaek vs Lyseng Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
14%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
36%
Draw
26%
24%
Away Win
27%
50%
Under 2.5
47%
50%
Over 2.5
53%
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
45%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holbaek v Lyseng — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Holbaek
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lyseng
EU Bookmakers 31%
+43% /
+43%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
2.49/0.51
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.24/1.92
+48%
/
+144%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+2%
/
-15%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
296 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
321 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.1
Holbaek vs Lyseng Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Holbaek
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Lyseng
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
08.10.2023
Lyseng
0-0
HT 0-0
Holbaek
DAN3
0-0
HT 0-0
Holbaek
DAN3
Holbaek 1-0 Lyseng — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Holbaek
1-0
AWAY
Lyseng
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
6
10
Shots on Target
5
9
Corners
7
4
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Holbaek vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Holbaek edged past Lyseng 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 24%) promised a tight game; Holbaek found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Holbaek had 50% of the ball to Lyseng's 50%, shots finished 12-6.
What was the final score of Holbaek vs Lyseng?
Holbaek 1-0 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Lyseng?
Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 40%, draw 36%, Lyseng 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Holbaek)
✗ BTTS Yes
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DAN3
More Denmark - 3rd Division
28 Mar 2024