Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna and Fasil Ketema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 49% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 51%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 38%, draw 31%, Fasil Ketema 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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