Mekelakeya 1-0 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.41
Over 2.5
48%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.44
No
47%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
67%
-15.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
33%
+15.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
37%
+15.6pp
48%
BTTS No
63%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-0
AWAY Welayta Dicha
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya edged past Welayta Dicha 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 44% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 56%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha?

Mekelakeya 1-0 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 43%, draw 25%, Welayta Dicha 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
28 Mar 2024
19:00 Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema Analysis →