Correcaminos UAT 0-2 Cimarrones de Sonora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Mar 2024

Correcaminos UAT
0-2 HT 0-1
Cimarrones de Sonora
📅28/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2025/2026

Correcaminos UAT vs Cimarrones de Sonora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v Cimarrones de Sonora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.37/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.34
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Correcaminos UAT vs Cimarrones de Sonora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 0-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.04.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 1-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.03.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
28.09.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
30.01.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-2 HT 0-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
18.11.2021 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Cimarrones de Sonora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cimarrones de Sonora saw off Correcaminos UAT 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Correcaminos UAT at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cimarrones de Sonora led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 0.83 for Cimarrones de Sonora.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Correcaminos UAT 0-2 Cimarrones de Sonora in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 41%, draw 34%, Cimarrones de Sonora 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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