Kampala City 4-1 Busoga United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.3pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Busoga United EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.98/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/3.00
-1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Busoga United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.10.2021 Busoga United Busoga United 0-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
4-1
AWAY Busoga United
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Busoga United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City swept aside Busoga United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kampala City had 55% of the ball to Busoga United's 45%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Busoga United?

Kampala City 4-1 Busoga United in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Busoga United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 65%, draw 25%, Busoga United 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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