Maroons 2-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.36
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
2-0
AWAY Express
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Maroons vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons saw off Express 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Maroons found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Maroons had 59% of the ball to Express's 41%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Maroons vs Express?

Maroons 2-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated an Express win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Maroons 34%, draw 30%, Express 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Express) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Express) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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