FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 19%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.20/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.72
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
2-1
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Fastav Zlin vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fastav Zlin nicked a narrow win over Graffin Vlasim 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Fastav Zlin as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Fastav Zlin had 49% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 51%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of FC Fastav Zlin vs Graffin Vlasim?

FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fastav Zlin vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fastav Zlin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Fastav Zlin 56%, draw 23%, Graffin Vlasim 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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