Tranmere Rovers 2-0 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.92
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.63
X/2
13%
7.24
X/X
14%
4.18
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.81
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.15/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.03
-14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 66%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.7 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
259 Passes 228
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
02.04.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 4-0 HT 3-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
19.09.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-3 HT 0-3 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
12.01.2019 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-3 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
11.08.2018 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
20.02.2016 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2-0
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.92 xG 0.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
241 Passes 159
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers beat Cheltenham Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tranmere Rovers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 57% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 43%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.92 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.67 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Cheltenham Town?

Tranmere Rovers 2-0 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 41%, draw 28%, Cheltenham Town 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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