Vanersborgs FK 1-4 Kongahalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
25%
+13.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.21/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.02/2.36
-17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kongahalla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
28.06.2024 Kongahalla 3-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
05.04.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-3 HT 1-2 Kongahalla İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1-4
AWAY Kongahalla
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Kongahalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongahalla swept aside Vanersborgs FK 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 21% / 41% — and on the day Kongahalla made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 34% of the ball to Kongahalla's 66%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kongahalla led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 3.00 for Kongahalla.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Kongahalla?

Vanersborgs FK 1-4 Kongahalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Kongahalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 38%, draw 21%, Kongahalla 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongahalla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongahalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
28 Mar 2025
21:00 Kristianstads FF vs Växjö Norra Analysis →
21:00 Tvaaker vs Landvetter IS Analysis →