SR 2-3 KFR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.28
No
39%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-15.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
74%
-12.8pp
39%
BTTS No
26%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SR EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY KFR EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH SR vs KFR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFR nicked a narrow win over SR 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KFR as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of SR vs KFR?

SR 2-3 KFR in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SR vs KFR?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFR win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SR 27%, draw 24%, KFR 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFR), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KFR) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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