Ymir 3-4 Hafnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.29
No
40%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
73%
-13.2pp
40%
BTTS No
27%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ymir EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hafnir EU Bookmakers 27%
-76% / -76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-54% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ymir vs Hafnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hafnir edged past Ymir 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ymir at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ymir vs Hafnir?

Ymir 3-4 Hafnir in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ymir vs Hafnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ymir win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ymir 51%, draw 21%, Hafnir 28%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ymir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ymir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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