Aalborg 0-4 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Mar 2025

Aalborg
0-4 HT 0-2
Viborg
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Aalborg vs Viborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.79
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
16%
6.13
X/2
16%
5.96
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.63
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalborg v Viborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.28/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.18
-19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
21.5 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Aalborg vs Viborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
355 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
12.08.2024 Viborg Viborg 2-3 HT 2-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
02.03.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAK
24.10.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-3 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
17.07.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN

Aalborg 0-4 Viborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
0-4
AWAY Viborg
1.06 xG 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
379 Passes 418
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg ran out comfortable winners over Aalborg 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Viborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aalborg had 49% of the ball to Viborg's 51%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.06 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aalborg and 1.33 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Viborg?

Aalborg 0-4 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 36%, draw 26%, Viborg 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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