Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Gareji — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gareji EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.11/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-0
AWAY Gareji
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gareji
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past Gareji 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 47% of the ball to Gareji's 53%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gareji?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Gareji in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gareji?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 43%, draw 26%, Gareji 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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