Samgurali 0-0 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.20/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.36
+7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Saburtalo 1-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
30.09.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-4 HT 1-2 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2024 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
15.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-3 HT 2-1 Saburtalo GUR
23.11.2023 Saburtalo 2-2 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
07.11.2023 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
0-0
AWAY Saburtalo
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali and Saburtalo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Samgurali had 46% of the ball to Saburtalo's 54%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Samgurali and 2.17 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Saburtalo?

Samgurali 0-0 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 33%, draw 28%, Saburtalo 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saburtalo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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