Samgurali vs Saburtalo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samgurali v Saburtalo — Team-Based Signals
Samgurali vs Saburtalo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Samgurali
GUR
Samgurali
GURCK
1-0
HT 1-0
Saburtalo
GUR
Samgurali
GUR
Samgurali 3-4 Saburtalo — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Samgurali 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Samgurali had 43% of the ball to Saburtalo's 57%, shots finished 16-23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samgurali and 2.17 for Saburtalo.
What was the final score of Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Samgurali 3-4 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 32%, draw 26%, Saburtalo 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.