Saburtalo 1-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.27
+44% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samgurali
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-4 HT 1-2 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2024 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
15.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-3 HT 2-1 Saburtalo GUR
23.11.2023 Saburtalo 2-2 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
07.11.2023 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GURCK
17.09.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-1
AWAY Samgurali
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo and Samgurali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 60% of the ball to Samgurali's 40%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Saburtalo and 1.83 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Samgurali?

Saburtalo 1-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 49%, draw 25%, Samgurali 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Over 2.5
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