Samtredia 0-1 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.33/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.95
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-2 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
01.06.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
16.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
28.10.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
19.08.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
10.05.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Batumi edged past Samtredia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Batumi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Samtredia had 48% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 52%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samtredia and 2.00 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Dinamo Batumi?

Samtredia 0-1 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 30%, draw 26%, Dinamo Batumi 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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