Samtredia 2-2 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.24/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.92
+13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
28.10.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
19.08.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
10.05.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
12.03.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-2 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
24.10.2021 Samtredia Samtredia 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
2-2
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samtredia and Dinamo Batumi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Batumi at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Samtredia had 39% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 61%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samtredia and 2.00 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Dinamo Batumi?

Samtredia 2-2 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 25%, draw 26%, Dinamo Batumi 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ BTTS Yes
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