Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.78/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.88
+13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gagra
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
13.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-6 HT 1-4 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.05.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
08.03.2023 Gagra Gagra 3-5 HT 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
03.12.2022 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2-0
AWAY Gagra
45% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi beat Gagra 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 45% of the ball to Gagra's 55%, shots finished 22-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 49%, draw 24%, Gagra 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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