Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.73
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gagra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
01.06.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
13.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-6 HT 1-4 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.05.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
0-1
AWAY Gagra
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra squeezed past Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Gagra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 52% of the ball to Gagra's 48%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.33 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 39%, draw 25%, Gagra 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ BTTS No
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