Gagra 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.35/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.18
+23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
13.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-6 HT 1-4 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.05.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
08.03.2023 Gagra Gagra 3-5 HT 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-0
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Dinamo Tbilisi played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gagra had 36% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 64%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gagra and 2.50 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Gagra 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gagra 33%, draw 28%, Dinamo Tbilisi 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5
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