Leeds United U21 2-2 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 28 Mar 2025

Leeds United U21
2-2 HT 2-0
Manchester United U21
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Leeds United U21 vs Manchester United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.3pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United U21 v Manchester United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.00/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.34/1.05
-34% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.1 Crosses 12.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Leeds United U21 2-2 Manchester United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United U21
2-2
AWAY Manchester United U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
265 Passes 200
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leeds United U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United U21 and Manchester United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United U21 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United U21 had 51% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 49%, shots finished 6-19.

What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Leeds United U21 2-2 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 30%, draw 22%, Manchester United U21 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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