28/03/2025
·
21:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Karbala vs Al Karkh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
31%
Draw
30%
42%
Away Win
43%
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
50%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karbala v Al Karkh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Karbala
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karkh
EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+17%
/
-29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
231 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
299 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Karbala vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Karbala and Al Karkh couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Al Karkh at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Karbala vs Al Karkh?
Karbala 1-1 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karbala vs Al Karkh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karbala 27%, draw 31%, Al Karkh 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Karkh) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Karkh)
✓ Under 2.5
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
28 Mar 2025