Al-Qasim 1-0 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

Al-Qasim
1-0 HT 1-0
Newroz
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al-Qasim vs Newroz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al-Qasim v Newroz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+39% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al-Qasim vs Newroz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qasim
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Newroz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
29.01.2025 Newroz 1-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qasim edged past Newroz 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Al-Qasim made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Newroz?

Al-Qasim 1-0 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qasim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 39%, draw 24%, Newroz 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qasim) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qasim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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