Ards FC 3-0 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
2.07
Over 2.5
36%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
44%
+19.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
56%
-19.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
26.10.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 1-4 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KILK
01.07.2014 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC HAZ
13.12.2013 Ards FC Ards FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ards FC
3-0
AWAY Cliftonville
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC ran out comfortable winners over Cliftonville 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Ards FC had 65% of the ball to Cliftonville's 35%, shots finished 22-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ards FC and 4.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Cliftonville?

Ards FC 3-0 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Cup on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 57%, draw 25%, Cliftonville 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KİRK More North Ireland - Cup
28 Mar 2025
22:45 Cliftonville vs Ards FC Analysis →