Cliftonville 3-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.07
Over 2.5
37%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
44%
+18.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
56%
-18.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.92/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.01
+55% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Ards FC
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
26.10.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 1-4 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KILK
01.07.2014 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC HAZ
13.12.2013 Ards FC Ards FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cliftonville
3-0
AWAY Ards FC
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville swept aside Ards FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Cliftonville had 66% of the ball to Ards FC's 34%, shots finished 22-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Cliftonville and 0.33 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Ards FC?

Cliftonville 3-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 60%, draw 25%, Ards FC 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRK More North Ireland - Cup
28 Mar 2025
00:00 Ards FC vs Cliftonville Analysis →