Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -32%
1.46/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.77
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
236 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
21.04.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 3-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
14.04.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
06.10.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
30.09.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
25.03.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 4-0 HT 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-0
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj squeezed past SKRA Czestochowa 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jastrzebie Zdroj as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 44% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 56%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.00 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 44%, draw 24%, SKRA Czestochowa 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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