Kalisz 0-1 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.53/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.46
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
07.08.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POLK
18.05.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
04.11.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 2-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
29.05.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
06.12.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-1
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz squeezed past Kalisz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Olimpia Grudziadz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kalisz had 55% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 45%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kalisz and 0.83 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Kalisz 0-1 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 37%, draw 22%, Olimpia Grudziadz 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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