Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.91/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.12
-45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kalisz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POLK
18.05.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
04.11.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 2-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
29.05.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
06.12.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0-1
AWAY Kalisz
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz edged past Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Grudziadz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 55% of the ball to Kalisz's 45%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.20 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kalisz?

Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 44%, draw 27%, Kalisz 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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