Ratchaburi 3-2 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

Ratchaburi
3-2 HT 0-2
Prachuap
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ratchaburi vs Prachuap Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ratchaburi v Prachuap — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.10/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.04
-42% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.1 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ratchaburi vs Prachuap Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Prachuap
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.98 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Prachuap Prachuap 3-2 HT 0-2 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.12.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 2-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAYFK
11.11.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-5 HT 1-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
19.03.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
07.11.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY

Ratchaburi 3-2 Prachuap — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
3-2
AWAY Prachuap
2.62 xG 0.46
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
412 Passes 186
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 15
44 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi nicked a narrow win over Prachuap 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 66% of the ball to Prachuap's 34%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.62 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ratchaburi's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Prachuap led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.40 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Prachuap?

Ratchaburi 3-2 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 41%, draw 25%, Prachuap 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ BTTS No
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