Prachuap 3-2 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 33%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.41/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.88
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +72%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.5 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 0.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 2-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAYFK
11.11.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-5 HT 1-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
19.03.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
07.11.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
3-2
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.57 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
347 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap edged past Ratchaburi 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 56% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 44%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.57 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Prachuap and 2.00 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Ratchaburi?

Prachuap 3-2 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 44%, draw 29%, Ratchaburi 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
9 Nov 2024
14:00 Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Analysis →
15:00 BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani Analysis →