Chiangrai United 0-2 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.02/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
-25% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
15.2 Crosses 14.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.61 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
237 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 3-1 HT 1-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
21.10.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
26.01.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
0-2
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
0.95 xG 0.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
185 Passes 299
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima saw off Chiangrai United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chiangrai United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 42% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 58%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.45 — on chances, Chiangrai United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nakhon Ratchasima led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.33 for Nakhon Ratchasima.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Chiangrai United 0-2 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 43%, draw 26%, Nakhon Ratchasima 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chiangrai United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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