BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Uthai Thani — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United 2-1 Uthai Thani — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United edged past Uthai Thani 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 53% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 47%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.48 to 0.91 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold BG Pathum United's control.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani?
BG Pathum United 2-1 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 52%, draw 27%, Uthai Thani 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.