LNZ Cherkasy 0-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.52/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.23
+50% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Polessya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.09.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-1 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
01.03.2024 Polessya Polessya 0-1 HT 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
18.08.2023 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 1-2 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
0-1
AWAY Polessya
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya nicked a narrow win over LNZ Cherkasy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Polessya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, LNZ Cherkasy had 57% of the ball to Polessya's 43%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for LNZ Cherkasy and 1.00 for Polessya.

What was the final score of LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya?

LNZ Cherkasy 0-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a LNZ Cherkasy win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split LNZ Cherkasy 37%, draw 31%, Polessya 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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