Arsenal (K) 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.27
Draw
8%
5.71
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
74%
+6.8pp
8%
Draw
15%
-7.0pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.61/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.75
+35% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
48.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
23.7 Crosses 8.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.80 xG 0.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
504 Passes 295
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
46 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2025 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
16.02.2025 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
16.11.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
03.03.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
5-2
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
2.83 xG 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
364 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) swept aside Tottenham Hotspur (K) 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 49% of the ball to Tottenham Hotspur (K)'s 51%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.83 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.00 for Tottenham Hotspur (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Arsenal (K) 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 81%, draw 8%, Tottenham Hotspur (K) 11%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
28 Mar 2026
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