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Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide United (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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3-1
HT 2-1
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Adelaide United (K)
AVUSTW
1-2
HT 1-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets (K) got the better of Adelaide United (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 50% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 50%, shots finished 15-23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 2.83 for Newcastle Jets (K).
What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?
Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 45%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets (K) 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) went the other way.