Marsilya (K) 1-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 28 Mar 2026

Marsilya (K)
1-2 HT 0-1
Montpellier (K)
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Marsilya (K) vs Montpellier (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya (K) v Montpellier (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.44/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
-31% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.6 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7

Marsilya (K) vs Montpellier (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.64 xG 0.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
287 Passes 220
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Marsilya (K) Marsilya (K) FRK1

Marsilya (K) 1-2 Montpellier (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya (K)
1-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Marsilya (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) edged past Marsilya (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Montpellier (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Marsilya (K) had 65% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 35%, shots finished 16-3.

What was the final score of Marsilya (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Marsilya (K) 1-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marsilya (K) 39%, draw 27%, Montpellier (K) 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsilya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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